Author
David Apgar
Co-Founder, GoalScreen LLC
David Apgar is the author of Risk Intelligence: Learning to Manage What We Don’t Know (Harvard Business, 2006) and Relevance: Hitting Your Goals By Knowing What Matters (Jossey-Bass, 2008). Both books are based on ten years of best practices research for corporate finance teams as a managing director at the Corporate Executive Board.
Mr. Apgar is also the co-founder of GoalScreen LLC, a web-based prediction engine that works on smart-phones and browsers to simplify project and business performance management, predict complex results, and test stock and bond price models. He advises the World Bank Group and USAID on project monitoring and evaluation with a focus on finance-sector and advisory development work.
In recent years he has also managed the risk portfolio of BlueOrchard Finance, the largest for-profit microfinance fund. He previously worked for McKinsey, where he served insurance, reinsurance and capital markets clients as a consultant and engagement manager for three years and as a vice president for financial institutions in the early 1990s at Lehman Brothers.
Prior to that, Mr. Apgar was responsible for building a framework for bank security sales as Senior Policy Advisor to the U.S. Comptroller of the Currency.
Earlier, as staff economist to Senator Bill Bradley, he proposed a debt relief program for Mexico, which became the precursor to interest rate relief Brady bonds.
He holds a B.A. from Harvard University, an M.A. from Oxford University, and a Ph.D. from the RAND Graduate School.
Articles by David Apgar
China’s Curious Choice to Stand with Russia
In contrast to Putin, President Xi at least seems focused on the long game for his country. But why is Xi then supporting Putin's win-today, lose-thereafter venture?
June 6, 2022
The Supreme Court Vs. the US: Advantage China
The U.S.’s highest court provides a blueprint for exposing the United States to yet more viruses. Taiwan may well pay the price.
January 27, 2022
The United States as Number 2?
The Republican Party is utterly unprepared for the hard realities of relative U.S. decline vis-à-vis China.
August 4, 2021
Dateline US: Economic Power for the 99%
Economic shame haunts hard-working Americans. They ask themselves why they can’t do as well as their parents.
August 2, 2020
China: US Republicans’ Real Existential Threat
There is a mortal threat to the Republican Party on the horizon – but it’s China, not demography.
July 18, 2020
US: Demography Is Not Political Destiny
Are Republicans really doomed electorally because of the demographic changes underway in the United States?
February 26, 2020
Xi and Kim: The Transcript
How Donald Trump and the U.S.-North Korea summit are getting framed.
April 16, 2018
US: Any Real Checks and Balances Left?
Republicans have severely damaged many once-respected institutions, even before President-elect Trump came onto the scene.
November 11, 2016
Rethinking the U.S. Strategy Against IS in Syria
Why the U.S. government should use mercenaries in Syria.
May 26, 2015
The U.S. Strategy on IS in Iraq Has It Backwards
Why the U.S. government must rethink Iraq's territorial integrity.
May 25, 2015
The Yemen-Benghazi Connection: Politics Before People
When Republicans use American deaths in terrorist attacks as a political weapon.
March 29, 2015
Who Bosses Whom? Israel Vs. the United States
The problem today is that the United States has too much influence on Israel, not the other way around.
March 16, 2015
How to Succeed in Nuclear Talks With Iran
A nuclear deal with Iran would give the United States four major strategic advantages.
February 4, 2015
Petraeus and Serdyukov: Cupids or Stupids?
Does the ouster of Russia's defense minister signal the return of high defense spending?
November 16, 2012
Protecting the Nanny <s>State</s> Boss
Are Republicans intent on creating a U.S. nanny state, too — only substituting employers for the government?
October 11, 2012
Time to Break BP Up
Do BP's far-flung operations have the potential to create catastrophes worse than the oil slick in the Gulf of Mexico?
June 22, 2010
Two Crucial Tweaks to the Treasury Plan
What changes can improve Timothy Geithner's new plan to revive U.S. credit markets?
February 12, 2009
Rethinking Credit Ratings
How much blame for the global financial crisis should fall with rating agencies?
December 17, 2008
Out of Bretton Woods
What is the most effective way for the new U.S. administration to cooperate on international financial issues?
November 26, 2008
Microfinance and the Global Food Crisis
How will food price inflation affect the effectiveness of microfinance institutions?
May 1, 2008
In Search of the Global Customer
How can microfinance help solve one of the thorniest development problems facing the world today?
April 30, 2008
How to Build a Micro-Entrepreneur
What implications does Colombia's microfinance sector have beyond the country's borders?
April 29, 2008
Why Osama bin Laden Hates Microfinance
Has Osama bin Laden become the first prophet in a new line of Islamic Marxists? Or is he just another would-be dictator searching for specious arguments?
September 21, 2007
President Sadr: America’s Last, Best Hope?
Could the only remaining hope for a peaceful Iraq lie with Moqtada Sadr?
August 13, 2007
A Two-State Solution for Iraq? (Part II)
What would a two-state Iraq mean for the Middle East — and the world as a whole?
January 19, 2007
A Two-State Solution for Iraq? (Part I)
Could the best solution to the crisis in Iraq be to split the country in two?
January 18, 2007
Risk Intelligence and the Iraq War: Part II
How do you tell whether your adversary's experience is more relevant than yours?
September 14, 2006
Risk Intelligence and the Iraq War: Part I
Could the Bush Administration have done better in anticipating the violent aftermath of the invasion of Iraq?
September 13, 2006
Dateline Afghanistan: Border Security for Iran
What is really at stake with an unsecured border between Iran and Afghanistan?
June 30, 2006
Ugly Americans?
Where does one have to travel these days to find remarkable samples of the American spirit?
April 24, 2006
Wolfowitz and Sadr: Meeting in the Sand
Could a rebel cleric and the U.S. deputy defense decretary share the same beliefs?
October 22, 2004
Bin Laden's Letter to Saddam Hussein
What would Osama bin Laden have to say to Saddam Hussein?
July 22, 2003
The Dominoes — Where Will It End?
Did U.S. President George W. Bush's warning of Syrian WMD announce the next preemptive strike?
April 26, 2003
Meanwhile in Afghanistan
What does Afghanistan's development point out about Iraq's reconstruction?
April 15, 2003
The UN to Tony Blair’s Rescue
Can resolving Arab-Israeli issues present a compromise for a UN resolution?
March 18, 2003
When Attacking Iraq Weakens U.S. Security
Could a U.S. invasion of Iraq reduce U.S. security?
November 22, 2002
Google News — January 31, 2005
Read some of the most captivating news headlines of January 31, 2005 — from London, Washington, Jerusalem and Baghdad.
October 21, 2002
The Great Enron Opera
Is it time to record corporate scandals in the lexicon of U.S. culture?
July 9, 2002
U.S. Security Vs. U.S. Competence
Will the Bush Administration's poor decision-making and increasing recklessness destroy its credibility?
April 29, 2002
The Cave Man Letter
How realistic, do you think, is the strategic planning of Osama bin Laden's terrorists?
October 24, 2001
China’s Curious Choice to Stand with Russia
June 6, 2022
The Supreme Court Vs. the US: Advantage China
January 27, 2022
The United States as Number 2?
August 4, 2021
Dateline US: Economic Power for the 99%
August 2, 2020
China: US Republicans’ Real Existential Threat
July 18, 2020
US: Demography Is Not Political Destiny
February 26, 2020
Xi and Kim: The Transcript
April 16, 2018
US: Any Real Checks and Balances Left?
November 11, 2016
Rethinking the U.S. Strategy Against IS in Syria
May 26, 2015
The U.S. Strategy on IS in Iraq Has It Backwards
May 25, 2015
The Yemen-Benghazi Connection: Politics Before People
March 29, 2015
Who Bosses Whom? Israel Vs. the United States
March 16, 2015
How to Succeed in Nuclear Talks With Iran
February 4, 2015
Petraeus and Serdyukov: Cupids or Stupids?
November 16, 2012
Protecting the Nanny <s>State</s> Boss
October 11, 2012
Time to Break BP Up
June 22, 2010
Two Crucial Tweaks to the Treasury Plan
February 12, 2009
Rethinking Credit Ratings
December 17, 2008
Out of Bretton Woods
November 26, 2008
Microfinance and the Global Food Crisis
May 1, 2008
In Search of the Global Customer
April 30, 2008
How to Build a Micro-Entrepreneur
April 29, 2008
Why Osama bin Laden Hates Microfinance
September 21, 2007
President Sadr: America’s Last, Best Hope?
August 13, 2007
A Two-State Solution for Iraq? (Part II)
January 19, 2007
A Two-State Solution for Iraq? (Part I)
January 18, 2007
Risk Intelligence and the Iraq War: Part II
September 14, 2006
Risk Intelligence and the Iraq War: Part I
September 13, 2006
Dateline Afghanistan: Border Security for Iran
June 30, 2006
Ugly Americans?
April 24, 2006
Wolfowitz and Sadr: Meeting in the Sand
October 22, 2004
Bin Laden's Letter to Saddam Hussein
July 22, 2003
The Dominoes — Where Will It End?
April 26, 2003
Meanwhile in Afghanistan
April 15, 2003
The UN to Tony Blair’s Rescue
March 18, 2003
When Attacking Iraq Weakens U.S. Security
November 22, 2002
Google News — January 31, 2005
October 21, 2002
The Great Enron Opera
July 9, 2002
U.S. Security Vs. U.S. Competence
April 29, 2002
The Cave Man Letter
October 24, 2001